An empirical assessment of the risk of carbon leakage in Poland

An empirical assessment of the risk of carbon leakage in Poland /  Oliver Sartor & Thomas Spencer. CDC Climat Recherche & IDDRI, May 2013, 28 p.

http://www.iddri.org/Publications/An-Empirical-Assessment-of-the-Risk-of-Carbon-Leakage-in-Poland

This paper empirically assesses the risks of carbon leakage in Poland under the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) in the short and medium term. It analyses four key questions to draw conclusions about the scale of the risks:
1. How important are energy intensive sectors to Polish economic growth and employment?
2. How carbon and energy efficient are Polish industrial sectors compared to the EU15?
3. What are the cost implications of the EU ETS for Polish industries if carbon prices rose significantly from current levels?
4. With whom does Poland trade in energy intensive goods and how intense is competition with producers from non-EU ETS countries?…


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