Asia’s oil supply: Risks and pragmatic remedies

Asia’s oil supply: Risks and pragmatic remedies / John Mitchell. Chatham House, May 2014, 42 p. (Research Paper)

Presentation (© Chatham House) :

This paper analyses the risks that major Asian importers would face if oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz were disrupted on a large scale – for example, if 10 million barrels a day (mbd) were interrupted for 90 days. It does not discuss the many possible causes of such a disruption, nor does it speculate on political or other responses in the Gulf or explore what might be the various medium-term developments in price, demand and supply. But it does discuss the capacity of Asian countries to maintain oil supplies for longer periods of disruption by drawing down stocks or using financial reserves to outbid competing importers for the limited supplies available. Every Asian government would inevitably respond to a major disruption of oil supplies. Uncertainty about governments’ interventions would add to the risk premium generated by uncertainty about physical supplies… read more

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