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Energie : papiers de recherche moissonnés (vendredi 2 octobre)

Les échanges gaziers entre la Russie et la Chine à l’aune de leur sécurité énergétique / Catherine Locatelli. Revue d’études comparatives est-ouest, vol. 46, n° 2, pp. 83-104 Lien vers l’article sur le site de la revue ; Lien vers le draft sur Hal

Le développement des échanges gaziers entre la Russie et la Chine s’inscrit dans un processus qui de part et d’autre vise une stratégie de diversification afin de répondre à des préoccupations de sécurité énergétique dans ses deux dimensions, offre et demande. Il s’agit pour la Chine de sécuriser son approvisionnement gazier par la diversification de ses fournisseurs et de ses routes d’importation (sécurité de l’offre). Il s’agit pour la Russie de diversifier ses marchés d’exportation pour sécuriser la demande gazière qui lui sera adressée. Au-delà de ces enjeux économiques, le développement des échanges gaziers entre la Russie et la Chine s’inscrit dans un contexte institutionnel particulier. Ce dernier est marqué par une relative proximité des modèles d’organisation de leurs industries gazières respectives, ainsi que des modalités de leur régulation (règles, normes) et une forte opposition au modèle concurrentiel de l’UE. Les modalités de gestion de la sécurité énergétique en sont fortement impactées.

Quantitative effects of the shale oil revolution / Cristiana Belu Mănescu and Galo Nuño. European Central Bank, September 2015, 34 p. (Working Paper Series No 1855) https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp%201855.en.pdf

The aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the so-called «shale oil revolution» on oil prices and economic growth. We employ a general equilibrium model of the world oil market in which Saudi Arabia is the dominant firm, with the rest of the producers as a competitive fringe. Our results suggest that most of the expected increase in US oil supply due to the shale oil revolution has already been incorporated into prices and that it will produce an additional increase of 0.2 percent in the GDP of oil importers in the period 2010-2018. We also employ the model to analyse the collapse in oil prices in the second half of 2014 and conclude that it was mainly due to positive unanticipated supply shocks.

A conceptual framework for the evolution of the operation and regulation of electricity transmission systems towards a decarbonised and increasingly integrated
electricity system in the EU / Jean-Michel Glachant, Jorge Vasconcelos and Vincent Rious. European University Institute, October 2015, 142 p. (research report) http://fsr.eui.eu/News/All/EnergyClimate/PublicationsResearch/150929A-conceptual-framework-TSO-research-report.aspx

What future(s) for the EU power transmission industry? The EU power transmission industry is deeply challenged today, tomorrow and beyond. The three former “Single energy market packages” didn’t foresee that the EU would have to build EU market integration and a low-carbon economy simultaneously, while facing a wave of technological innovation. How can EU TSOs respond? What are the EU TSOs’ new tasks? How could regulation and governance respond?

Lessons from energy history for climate policy / Roger Fouquet, London School of Economics. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy ; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, Sept. 2015, 31 p. (Working Paper ) http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Working-Paper-209-Fouquet.pdf

This paper sought to draw lessons from long run trends in energy markets for energy and climate policy. An important lesson is that consumer responses to energy markets change with economic development. In particular, evidence suggests that income elasticities of demand for energy services have tended to follow an inverse-U shape curve. Thus, at low levels of economic development, energy service consumption tends to be quite responsive to per capita income changes; at mid-levels, consumption tends to be very responsive to changes in income per capita; and, at high levels, consumption is less responsive to income changes. The paper also highlights the risks to developing countries of locking-in to carbon intensive infrastructure or behaviours. Without guidance and incentives, rapid economic development is likely to lock consumers into high energy service prices in the long run and bind the economy onto a high energy intensity trajectory with major long run economic and environmental impacts. Thus, effective energy service policies in periods of rapid development, such as in China and India at present, are crucial for the long run prosperity of the economy.

 


OpenEdition vous propose de citer ce billet de la manière suivante :
Danièle Revel (2 octobre 2015). Energie : papiers de recherche moissonnés (vendredi 2 octobre). Veille énergie climat. Consulté le 9 novembre 2024 à l’adresse https://doi.org/10.58079/obze


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