Climat : papiers de recherche moissonnés (jeudi 19 novembre 2015)

China, the United States and the European Union: Multiple Bilateralism and Prospects for a New Climate Change Diplomacy / David Belis, Paul Joffe, Bart Kerremans, Ye Qi, Carbon & Climate Law Review, vol. 9, n° 3, 2015, pp. 203-218 http://cclr.lexxion.eu/article/CCLR/2015/3/5

This article argues that one of the most significant evolutions in global climate politics in recent years is the redefinition of power relations that has emerged since the 2009 Copenhagen summit. In the run-up to a potential new climate deal at the 2015 Paris summit, a new climate change diplomacy may be emerging among three actors that are in many respects the most powerful and influential: China, the United States and the European Union…

Engineering Climate Change Negotiations / Andreas Knobel. ETH Zurich, November 8, 2015, 21 p. (ETH Zurich: Negotiation and Conflict Management Research Paper No. 15-02) http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2687632

Science has recently handed us an “inconveniently simple” concept to think about climate change: to keep global temperatures from rising to dangerous levels, we may only burn a very limited amount of fossil fuels in the next hundred years. This carbon budget has to be shared fairly among nations. Applying the novel approach of negotiation engineering, we propose a simple mathematical model for the climate change negotiations: to agree on a cutting of the carbon cake, parties select fairness principles and decide to which degree they should be applied. We call this “negotiation on principles”. We investigate some properties of the model and as an application assess the fairness of past and present allocations of the budget.

Changement climatique : un défi sans précédent en termes d’investissement et de financement / Raymond Van der Putten, Conjoncture BNP Paribas, n° 10 , octobre 2015, pp. 3-20 http://economic-research.bnpparibas.com/Views/DisplayPublication.aspx?type=document&IdPdf=27165

En décembre, la Conférence sur le changement climatique (COP21) se tiendra à Paris. L’objectif principal est de parvenir à un accord contraignant pour limiter le réchauffement climatique à moins de 2°C. Pour orienter l’économie mondiale vers un développement à faibles émissions de carbone, une augmentation du prix du carbone et une hausse des investissements en infrastructure seront nécessaires. La mobilisation de USD 100 mds par an d’ici 2020 pour aider les pays en développement à faire face aux changements climatiques sera un élément crucial.

Danièle Revel

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