Lessons from the history of technological change for clean energy scenarios and policies
Lessons from the history of technological change for clean energy scenarios and policies / Arnulf Grubler. Natural Resources Forum, online 21st June 2011
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1477-8947.2011.01386.x/full
This paper provides a synthesis of current knowledge on the patterns, drivers, and characteristics of historical energy technology transitions. This historical evidence is then compared to the treatment of energy system dynamics in the scenarios literature on climate change mitigation. The paper concludes with a discussion of generic implications for clean energy and technology innovation policy. (© NRS)