The Paris Agreement: understanding the physical and social challenges for a warming world of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels

The Paris Agreement: understanding the physical and social challenges for a warming world of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels / compiled and edited by Dann Mitchell, Myles R Allen, Jim W Hall, Benito Mueller, Lavanya Rajamani and Corinne Le Quéré, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 13 May 2018, vol. 376, n° 2119 http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/376/2119

⇒ Billet dans Carbon brief à propos de ce numéro : Limiting global warming to 1.5C would have ‘significant economic benefits’

Contents :

  • Introduction: The myriad challenges of the Paris Agreement / Dann Mitchell, Myles R. Allen, Jim W. Hall, Benito Muller, Lavanya Rajamani, Corinne Le Quéré
  • The legal character and operational relevance of the Paris Agreement’s temperature goal / Lavanya Rajamani, Jacob Werksman
  • Mitigation gambles: uncertainty, urgency and the last gamble possible / Henry Shue
  • Implications of possible interpretations of ‘greenhouse gas balance’ in the Paris Agreement / J. Fuglestvedt, J. Rogelj, R. J. Millar, M. Allen, O. Boucher, M. Cain, P. M. Forster, E. Kriegler, D. Shindell
  • Climate and development: enhancing impact through stronger linkages in the implementation of the Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) / Luis Gomez-Echeverri
  • Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time? / Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Nico Bauer, Lavinia Baumstark, Shinichiro Fujimori, Alexander Popp, Joeri Rogelj, Jessica Strefler, Detlef P. van Vuuren
  • The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions /  Richard J. Millar, Pierre Friedlingstein
  • Building equity in: strategies for integrating equity into modelling for a 1.5°C world / Klinsky Sonja, Winkler Harald
  • The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response / Jason A. Lowe, Daniel Bernie
  • Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabilizing global temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C warming / Felix Pretis, Moritz Schwarz, Kevin Tang, Karsten Haustein, Myles R. Allen
  • Stabilization of global temperature at 1.5°C and 2.0°C: implications for coastal areas / Robert J. Nicholls, Sally Brown, Philip Goodwin, Thomas Wahl, Jason Lowe, Martin Solan, Jasmin A. Godbold, Ivan D. Haigh, Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel, Claudia Wolff, Jan-Ludolf Merkens
  • Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model / Richard A. Betts, Lorenzo Alfieri, Catherine Bradshaw, John Caesar, Luc Feyen, Pierre Friedlingstein, Laila Gohar, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Kirsty Lewis, Catherine Morfopoulos, Lamprini Papadimitriou, Katy J. Richardson, Ioannis Tsanis, Klaus Wyser
  • Impacts on terrestrial biodiversity of moving from a 2°C to a 1.5°C target / Pete Smith, Jeff Price, Amy Molotoks, Rachel Warren, Yadvinder Malhi
  • Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C / Sonia I. Seneviratne, Richard Wartenburger, Benoit P. Guillod, Annette L. Hirsch, Martha M. Vogel, Victor Brovkin, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Nathalie Schaller, Lena Boysen, Katherine V. Calvin, Jonathan Doelman, Peter Greve, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Tamas Krisztin, Daniel Mitchell, Alexander Popp, Keywan Riahi, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Jana Sillmann, Elke StehfestCoordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments / Cynthia Rosenzweig, Alex C. Ruane, John Antle, Joshua Elliott, Muhammad Ashfaq, Ashfaq Ahmad Chatta, Frank Ewert, Christian Folberth, Ibrahima Hathie, Petr Havlik, Gerrit Hoogenboom, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Dilys S. MacCarthy, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Erik Mencos Contreras, Christoph Müller, Ignacio Perez-Dominguez, Meridel Phillips, Cheryl Porter, Rubi M. Raymundo, Ronald D. Sands, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Roberto O. Valdivia, Hugo Valin, Keith Wiebe
  • Reaching a 1.5°C target: socio-technical challenges for a rapid transition to low-carbon electricity systems / Nick Eyre, Sarah J. Darby, Philipp Grünewald, Eoghan McKenna, Rebecca Ford
  • Negative emissions technologies and carbon capture and storage to achieve the Paris Agreement commitments / R. Stuart Haszeldine, Stephanie Flude, Gareth Johnson, Vivian Scott
  • Towards legitimacy of the solar geoengineering research enterprise / Peter C. Frumhoff, Jennie C. Stephens
  • Solar geoengineering as part of an overall strategy for meeting the 1.5°C Paris target / Douglas G. MacMartin, Katharine L. Ricke, David W. Keith
  • Can ‘loss and damage’ carry the load? / Robert R. M. Verchick

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