Étiqueté : scenario

The EMF28 study on scenarios for transforming the European energy system

« This special issue of Climate Change Economics presents the views regarding the aforementioned questions of the EMF28 study of the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum (EMF). EMF employs an international expert platform to improve the understanding of important energy and environmental problems by comparing different modeling approaches and results… »

World energy scenarios : Composing energy futures to 2050

This WEC report is the result of a three-year study conducted by over 60 experts from nearly 30 countries, with modelling provided by the Paul Scherrer Institute. It assesses two contrasting policy scenarios, the more consumer driven Jazz scenario and the more voter-driven Symphony scenario with a key differentiator being the ability of countries to pass through the Doha Climate Gateway…

Splitting the EU ETS: strengthening the scheme by differentiating its sectoral carbon prices

The current EU ETS faces a dilemma. To induce low-carbon investments in the power sector, higher carbon prices are needed, while low carbon prices are needed to reduce the risk of carbon leakage and loss of industrial competitiveness. This study analyses the effects and implications of two alternative policy options to address this price dilemma…

Unburnable Carbon 2013: Wasted capital and stranded assets

Using all fossil fuels will breach the global carbon dioxide budget In 2010, governments confirmed in the Cancun Agreement that emissions should be reduced to avoid a rise in global average temperature of more than 2°C above pre-industrial levels, with the possibility of revising this down to 1.5°C. The modelling used in previous analyses by Carbon Tracker and the IEA showed that the carbon budget for a 2°C scenario would be around 565 – 886 billion tonnes (Gt) of carbon dioxide (CO2) to 2050. This outcome assumes that non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions (e.g. methane and nitrous oxide) remain high…

Présentation des scénarios énergétiques de l’Agence nationale de coordination de la recherche pour l’énergie

L’ANCRE contribue au Débat national sur la transition énergétique, en présentant trois scénarios possibles d’évolution du système énergétique français. Les scénarios décrivent des trajectoires contrastées de la demande et de l’offre d’énergie et permettent de cerner les défis technologiques à surmonter pour chacun de ces scénarios…

Prospects for energy supply and demand in the Southern Mediterranean: scenarios for 2010–30

The aim of this CEPS technical report is to quantify alternative energy demand and supply scenarios for ten southern and eastern Mediterranean countries up to 2030. It presents the model-based results of four alternative scenarios that are broadly in line with the MEDPRO scenario specifications on regional integration and cooperation with the EU…

Les scénarios énergie-climat : mise au point après la crise, Fukushima, Durban…, et les gaz de schiste

Les auteurs commencent par examiner l’impact des évolutions et événements récents (Fukushima, Durban…) sur la conjoncture énergétique et climatique. Puis, après un rappel des quatre scénarios énergétiques mondiaux à l’horizon 2030-2050 élaborés en 2009,  ils proposent une mise à jour tenant compte des conséquences du changement de contexte identifiées…